Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth

Pieter A Zuidema; Peter Groenendijk; Mizanur Rahman; Valerie Trouet; Abrham Abiyu; Rodolfo Acuña-Soto; Eduardo Adenesky-Filho; Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez; Claudio Roberto Anholetto; José Roberto Vieira Aragão; Gabriel Assis-Pereira; Claudia C Astudillo-Sánchez; Ana Carolina Barbosa; Giovanna Battipaglia; Hans Beeckman; Paulo Cesar Botosso; Nils Bourland; Achim Bräuning; Roel Brienen; Matthew Brookhouse; Supaporn Buajan; Brendan M Buckley; J. Julio Camarero; Artemio Carrillo-Parra; Gregório Ceccantini; Librado R Centeno-Erguera; Julián Cerano-Paredes; Rosalinda Cervantes-Martínez; Wirong Chanthorn; Ya Jun Chen; Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra; Eladio Heriberto Cornejo-Oviedo; Otoniel Cortés-Cortés; Clayane Matos Costa; Camille Couralet; Doris Bianca Crispín-De-La-Cruz; Rosanne D'arrigo; Diego A David; Maaike De Ridder; Jorge Ignacio Del Valle; Mário Dobner; Jean Louis Doucet; Oliver Dünisch; Brian J Enquist; Karin Esemann-Quadros; Gerardo Esquivel-Arriaga; Ze Xin Fan; Adeline Fayolle; Tatiele Anete Bergamo Fenilli; M. Eugenia Ferrero; Esther Fichtler; Patrick M Finnegan; Claudia Fontana; Kainana S Francisco; Pei Li Fu; Franklin Galvão; Aster Gebrekirstos; Jorge A Giraldo; Emanuel Gloor; Milena Godoy-Veiga; Daniela Granato-Souza; Anthony Guerra; Kristof Haneca; Grant Logan Harley; Ingo Heinrich; Gerhard Helle; Bruna Hornink; Wannes Hubau; Janet G Inga; Mahmuda Islam; Yu Mei Jiang; Mark Kaib; Zakia Hassan Khamisi; Marcin Koprowski; Eva Layme; A. Joshua Leffler; Gauthier Ligot; Claudio Sergio Lisi; Neil J Loader; Francisco De Almeida Lobo; Giuliano Maselli Locosselli; Tomaz Longhi-Santos; Lidio Lopez; María I López-Hernández; José Luís Penetra Cerveira Lousada; Rubén D Manzanedo; Amanda K Marcon; Justin T Maxwell; Omar N Mendoza-Villa; Ítallo Romany Nunes Menezes; Mulugeta Mokria; Valdinez Ribeiro Montóia; Eddy Moors; Miyer Moreno; Miguel Angel Muñiz-Castro; Cristina Nabais; Anuttara Nathalang; Justine Ngoma; Francisco De Carvalho Nogueira; Juliano Morales Oliveira; Gabriela Morais Olmedo; Daigard Ricardo Ortega-Rodriguez; Carmen Eugenia Rodríguez Ortíz; Mariana Alves Pagotto; Shankar Panthi; Kathelyn Paredes-Villanueva; Gonzalo Pérez-De-Lis; Laura Patricia Ponce Calderón; Leif Armando Portal-Cahuana; Darwin Alexander Pucha-Cofrep; Nathsuda Pumijumnong; Paulo Quadri; Jorge Andrés Ramírez; Edilson Jimmy Requena-Rojas; Judith Reyes-Flores; Adauto de Souza Ribeiro; Iain Robertson; Fidel Alejandro Roig; José Guilherme Roquette; Ernesto Alonso Rubio-Camacho; Raúl Sánchez-Salguero; Ute Sass-Klaassen; Jochen Schöngart; Marcelo Callegari Scipioni; Paul R Sheppard; Lucas C.R Silva; Franziska Slotta; Leroy Soria-Díaz; Luciana K.V.S Sousa; James H Speer; Matthew D Therrell; Ginette Ticse-Otarola; Mario Tomazello-Filho; Max C.A Torbenson; Pantana Tor-Ngern; Ramzi Touchan; Jan Van den Bulcke; Lorenzo Vázquez-Selem; Adín H Velázquez-Pérez; Alejandro Venegas-González; Ricardo Villalba; Jose Villanueva-Diaz; Mart Vlam; George Vourlitis; Christian Wehenkel; Tommy Wils; Erika S Zavaleta; Eshetu Asfaw Zewdu; Yong Jiang Zhang; Zhe Kun Zhou; Flurin Babst

doi:10.1126/science.adq6607

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Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth

Journal article

Peer reviewed

Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth

Pieter A Zuidema, Peter Groenendijk, Mizanur Rahman, Valerie Trouet, Abrham Abiyu, Rodolfo Acuña-Soto, Eduardo Adenesky-Filho, Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez, Claudio Roberto Anholetto, José Roberto Vieira Aragão, …

Science, Vol.389(6759), pp.532-538

07/31/2025

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adq6607

Abstract

Increasing drought pressure under anthropogenic climate change may jeopardize the potential of tropical forests to capture carbon in woody biomass and act as a long-term carbon dioxide sink. To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and found an overall modest stem growth decline (2.5% with a 95% confidence interval of 2.2 to 2.7%) during the 10% driest years since 1930. Stem growth declines exceeded 10% in 25% of cases and were larger at hotter and drier sites and for gymnosperms compared with angiosperms. Growth declines generally did not outlast drought years and were partially mitigated by growth stimulation in wet years. Thus, pantropical forest carbon sequestration through stem growth has hitherto shown drought resilience that may, however, diminish under future climate change.

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Title: Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth
Creators: Pieter A Zuidema - Wageningen University & Research
Peter Groenendijk - Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
Mizanur Rahman - Shahjalal University of Science and Technology
Valerie Trouet - University of Arizona
Abrham Abiyu
Rodolfo Acuña-Soto - Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Eduardo Adenesky-Filho
Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez - Natural Resources Canada
Claudio Roberto Anholetto
José Roberto Vieira Aragão - Universidade Federal do Ceará
Gabriel Assis-Pereira - Forest Science and Research Institute
Claudia C Astudillo-Sánchez - Autonomous University of Tamaulipas
Ana Carolina Barbosa
Giovanna Battipaglia - University of Campania "Luigi Vanvitelli"
Hans Beeckman - Royal Museum for Central Africa
Paulo Cesar Botosso - Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation
Nils Bourland - Royal Museum for Central Africa
Achim Bräuning - Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg
Roel Brienen - University of Leeds
Matthew Brookhouse - Australian National University
Supaporn Buajan - Mahidol University
Brendan M Buckley - Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
J. Julio Camarero - Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología
Artemio Carrillo-Parra - Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango
Gregório Ceccantini - Universidade de São Paulo
Librado R Centeno-Erguera - Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales Agrícolas y Pecuarias
Julián Cerano-Paredes - Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales Agrícolas y Pecuarias
Rosalinda Cervantes-Martínez - Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro
Wirong Chanthorn - Kasetsart University
Ya Jun Chen
Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra - University of Birmingham
Eladio Heriberto Cornejo-Oviedo - Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro
Otoniel Cortés-Cortés - Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro
Clayane Matos Costa - Universidade Federal de Sergipe
Camille Couralet - Royal Museum for Central Africa
Doris Bianca Crispín-De-La-Cruz
Rosanne D'arrigo
Diego A David - Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Maaike De Ridder - Royal Museum for Central Africa
Jorge Ignacio Del Valle
Mário Dobner - Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina
Jean Louis Doucet
Oliver Dünisch
Brian J Enquist - University of Arizona
Karin Esemann-Quadros - Universidade da Região de Joinville
Gerardo Esquivel-Arriaga
Ze Xin Fan
Adeline Fayolle - Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech
Tatiele Anete Bergamo Fenilli - Universidade Regional de Blumenau
M. Eugenia Ferrero - Centro Científico Tecnológico - Mendoza
Esther Fichtler - University of Göttingen
Patrick M Finnegan - The University of Western Australia
Claudia Fontana - Forest Science and Research Institute
Kainana S Francisco - Pacific Southwest Research Station
Pei Li Fu
Franklin Galvão - Universidade Federal do Paraná
Aster Gebrekirstos - World Agroforestry Centre
Jorge A Giraldo - Antioquia Institute of Technology
Emanuel Gloor - University of Leeds
Milena Godoy-Veiga - Universidade de São Paulo
Daniela Granato-Souza - Alabama Agricultural and Mechanical University
Anthony Guerra - Universidade Federal de Lavras
Kristof Haneca - Agence Wallonne du Patrimoine
Grant Logan Harley - University of Idaho, Earth and Spatial Sciences
Ingo Heinrich - Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
Gerhard Helle - GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences
Bruna Hornink - Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
Wannes Hubau - Ghent University
Janet G Inga
Mahmuda Islam - Shahjalal University of Science and Technology
Yu Mei Jiang
Mark Kaib
Zakia Hassan Khamisi - University of Arizona
Marcin Koprowski - Nicolaus Copernicus University
Eva Layme
A. Joshua Leffler - South Dakota State University
Gauthier Ligot - University of Liège
Claudio Sergio Lisi - Universidade Federal de Sergipe
Neil J Loader - Swansea University
Francisco De Almeida Lobo - Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso
Giuliano Maselli Locosselli - Universidade de São Paulo
Tomaz Longhi-Santos - Universidade Federal do Paraná
Lidio Lopez - Centro Científico Tecnológico - Mendoza
María I López-Hernández - Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro
José Luís Penetra Cerveira Lousada
Rubén D Manzanedo - University of Bern
Amanda K Marcon - Universidade Federal do Paraná
Justin T Maxwell - Indiana University Bloomington
Omar N Mendoza-Villa - Autonomous University of Queretaro
Ítallo Romany Nunes Menezes
Mulugeta Mokria - Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg
Valdinez Ribeiro Montóia
Eddy Moors - IHE Delft Institute for Water Education
Miyer Moreno - Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Miguel Angel Muñiz-Castro - Universidad de Guadalajara
Cristina Nabais - University of Coimbra
Anuttara Nathalang - National Science and Technology Development Agency
Justine Ngoma - Copperbelt University
Francisco De Carvalho Nogueira - Universidade Federal de Sergipe
Juliano Morales Oliveira
Gabriela Morais Olmedo - Universidade de São Paulo
Daigard Ricardo Ortega-Rodriguez
Carmen Eugenia Rodríguez Ortíz
Mariana Alves Pagotto - Universidade Federal de Sergipe
Shankar Panthi - Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden
Kathelyn Paredes-Villanueva - Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
Gonzalo Pérez-De-Lis - Universidade de Santiago de Compostela
Laura Patricia Ponce Calderón
Leif Armando Portal-Cahuana - National University Toribio Rodríguez de Mendoza
Darwin Alexander Pucha-Cofrep - Universidad Nacional de Loja
Nathsuda Pumijumnong - Mahidol University
Paulo Quadri - University of California, Santa Cruz
Jorge Andrés Ramírez - University of Cauca
Edilson Jimmy Requena-Rojas - Universidad Continental
Judith Reyes-Flores - Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro
Adauto de Souza Ribeiro - Universidade Federal de Sergipe
Iain Robertson - Swansea University
Fidel Alejandro Roig - Centro Científico Tecnológico - Mendoza
José Guilherme Roquette
Ernesto Alonso Rubio-Camacho - Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales Agrícolas y Pecuarias
Raúl Sánchez-Salguero - Universidad Pablo de Olavide
Ute Sass-Klaassen - Wageningen University & Research
Jochen Schöngart - Amazon
Marcelo Callegari Scipioni - Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina
Paul R Sheppard - University of Arizona
Lucas C.R Silva - University of Oregon
Franziska Slotta - Freie Universität Berlin
Leroy Soria-Díaz - Autonomous University of Tamaulipas
Luciana K.V.S Sousa
James H Speer
Matthew D Therrell - University of Alabama
Ginette Ticse-Otarola - Universidad Continental
Mario Tomazello-Filho
Max C.A Torbenson - Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz
Pantana Tor-Ngern - Chulalongkorn University
Ramzi Touchan - University of Arizona
Jan Van den Bulcke - Ghent University
Lorenzo Vázquez-Selem - Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Adín H Velázquez-Pérez - Colegio de Postgraduados
Alejandro Venegas-González - University of O'Higgins
Ricardo Villalba - Centro Científico Tecnológico - Mendoza
Jose Villanueva-Diaz
Mart Vlam - Van Hall Larenstein University of Applied Sciences
George Vourlitis - California State University, San Marcos
Christian Wehenkel - Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango
Tommy Wils
Erika S Zavaleta - University of California, Santa Cruz
Eshetu Asfaw Zewdu - Addis Ababa University
Yong Jiang Zhang
Zhe Kun Zhou
Flurin Babst - University of Arizona
Publication Details: Science, Vol.389(6759), pp.532-538
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
Number of pages: 7
Identifiers: 996833096601851
Academic Unit: Earth and Spatial Sciences
Language: English
Resource Type: Journal article